September 23, 2009
Welcome to the Fishing Report. The fog was thick earlier but it has lifted now and the sun is shining. We have not seen much of the sun in days. And, luckily we have been missed by the heavy rain that caused flooding to the south of us. We got some and the rivers and streams in the Park are showing the results. Little River is flowing at 240 cubic feet per second right now. That is a good normal Spring flow when normally our water is low this time of year. Normal flow in Little River at the “Y” for this date is 77 cfs. The lowest recorded on this date in 44 years was 24 cfs in 2007.
This weekend is going to be cooler. We’ll probably get more rain but next week the water is going to be a lot colder than it is now. When the cold front moves in the chance for rain will diminish. I think we’ll be wearing fleece by mid-week at night. Higher up in the mountains it is going to be cold at night. Fall is finally starting to show itself.
Fishing will improve. People are already spotting large brown trout out in the open. They are not spawning but they’re thinking about it. With the higher water and cooler temperatures your chance for catching larger trout improves. The big browns stay hidden during the day much of the year. Higher water, cloudy days and the urge to spawn brings them out during the day. Most are caught on large nymphs and streamers. Rainbows and brook trout will be active too. The fall spawning colors of the Southern Appalachian Brook Trout are incredible. You can catch them in the higher elevations on dries and nymphs.
The lakes are going to cool down next week. Bluegill and bass will move into shallow water. Paula and I did pretty well with poppers last week. We caught smallmouth, largemouth and bluegill on top. The weeks prior to that we did not fare well using poppers.
Everyone in Townsend is busy getting ready for Townsend Days. Herb Handly and I hung some signs at all three entrances to the town. We are expecting a huge crowd. Alex from Cades Cove Heritage Tours came by this morning while I was still in the Parking lot. They are going to move one of their buses to the Visitors Center this weekend to see how many trips they can get there. Townsend will be packed with people. Don’t worry, they won’t be on the streams.
Thanks to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) for getting the gauge working and transmitting data. That will save me about 20 minutes per day. But, I’ll miss driving up to the “Y” every morning.
I wonder if the Dow will hit 10000 this week. It closed yesterday at 9833. Futures selling early indicate we might see another increase today. The Dow closed at 6627 on March 6. We have seen an increase of 48% in six months. I’m liking that!
Reports from the Fly Fishing Retailer Show held in Denver a few days ago are positive. Fly shops are predicting a better future. I think we’ll finish this year about flat with 2008, maybe up a little. And I’m predicting a good year in 2010, maybe a record. And that is not just a gut feeling, I’m basing my prediction on the performance we are experiencing now combined with our marketing plans we have for the coming months.
We are starting to build our fly tying inventory. Fly tying season is almost here. We are planning fly tying classes and free demonstrations as usual, starting next month. I always look forward to that time of year.
Most of us are investors and we are seeing our net worth climb back. And public opinion shows that there is more confidence in the economy, more than we’ve seen in a long time. That usually equates to more spending and an economic turnaround. It’s happening. I know I’ll get some e-mails telling me I’m crazy. That’s OK. I’ve probably been through a lot more recessions as a business owner than most people I know. I’m getting ready to start my 37th year.
NOTE: THE FLY TYING SCHOOL SCHEDULE IS NOW AVAILABE ONLINE. HERE ARE LINKS TO BEGINNER, INTERMEDIATE AND ADVANCED FLY TYING CLASSES.
Have a great day and thank you for being here with us.
September 23, 2009
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