Townsend, Tennessee - Fly Fishing in the Great Smoky Mountains National Park, East Tennessee and Western North Carolina

Welcome to the Fishing Report.  It is foggy, I mean really foggy this morning.  I missed the turn onto our street where the shop is located on my way to work.  Had to turn around at Trillium Cove.  The temperature outside at 7:55 am was 40 degrees.  “Feels like Fall to me.”  But, the weather experts agree that today will be sunny and in the low 70’s.  The same will be true through Thursday except the highs will be in the upper 70’s each day. “Feels like Summer to me.”

Fishing in the Smokies is fine.  The water levels are at normal.  Keep in mind, normal water levels in October are low.  The actual flows are not as low as the dry spells we experienced this Summer.  But the water is low and you need to use the same tactics you used this Summer.  Stay concealed.  Fish the faster water. Get a good drift.  Don’t cast too far. Use a fly you can see. 

Little River is flowing at 72 cubic feet per second (cfs).  Median flow for this date is 77 cfs.  This Summer, at times, the water level in the river dropped below 50 cfs.  That is low.  The water temperature at 7:55 am was 53.5 degrees.  That number will rise today.  It’s a good number and it will become a better number as the day progresses.

I would use dry flies.  I told an angler yesterday that pattern doesn’t matter much right now.  More importantly, is getting a good drift and not scaring the trout to death.  Like I said earlier, I would choose a pattern I can see.  That could be, Parachute Adams, Yellow Neversink Caddis, yellow or orange Stimulator, yellow or orange Palmer, a black foam beetle with some sort of visible material on the back or a Elk Caddis.  There are still plenty of beetles running around out there. 

For a nymph I would choose a reasonable standard pattern like a Tellico, Pheasant Tail, Prince or Copper John.  I would start with a Green Weenie for sure with some weight on it.

I imagine the tailwaters are fishing well for trout.  I’ve heard some good fishing stories lately.

The lakes are a different story.  I haven’t been fishing on a lake in about 2 1/2 weeks.  It was slow that day.  Smallmouth bass were hard to find.  I’ll give it another try this week unless the wind blows like it has the past three days.

If October and our store are any indication, the economy has made a huge rebound and “Happy Days Are Here Again”.  Business has been good.  September was very slow though.  I think the two will end up offsetting each other.  This has been a tough 3 years. 

One of my favorite websites lately is Gallup.  I’m not reading the numbers about the election.  I’m tired of politics.  Politics is not a discussion topic on the Fishing Report anyway.  We come here to get away from that. 

What I do find more interesting is public opinion about subjective topics.  The polls I enjoy are Economic Confidence, Consumer Spending and Happiness or the U.S. Daily Mood. I also keep an eye on Jobs and Job Confidence. I watch U.S. Employment, which is not subjective in nature. 

U.S. Economic Confidence this week is the best since May.  The worst week in September was awful, at -29.  But one week in January came in at -33.  Now we’re up to -17 according to Gallup. 

“Minus” numbers are not good and that’s what we are seeing.  Perceived success or prosperity right now is measured in negative numbers.  I guess, when we hit “0” we’ll be clicking on 4 cylinders.  At +20 we’ll be running on 6.  At +50 we’ll be in high cotton.

What is more encouraging is the Economic Outlook Rating.  Right now it is at -10 up from -29 in September.  That is a considerable difference.  The Current Conditions Rating is -23 today compared to -30 in the worst week in September.

After each survey you can read the “Survey Methods”.  On this particular survey the participants are contacted on landline phones and there were 3,416.

What is going to be more interesting, is the difference between these polls now compared to those after the election.  Sorry, I slipped into politics just slightly.

Have a great day.  Go fishing and enjoy this great weather.  The mountains are beautiful today.

Byron Begley
October 21, 2012 

Respond to: byron@littleriveroutfitters.com


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